What to Watch in 2017 Guarding Against Inflation With central banks explicitly communicating their desire to spur higher inflation, investors face a “right tail risk” worthy of consideration and precaution. Learn how to best protect your portfolio against potential inflation surprises.
What to Watch in 2017 Guarding Against Inflation With central banks explicitly communicating their desire to spur higher inflation, investors face a “right tail risk” worthy of consideration and precaution. Learn how to best protect your portfolio against potential inflation surprises.
Blog Europe’s Economy Facing Short- and Long-Term Headwinds Despite its cyclical and secular challenges, we believe Europe is a good diversifier for duration in global portfolios.
Blog ECB: Eyeing a June Rate Cut While the European Central Bank refrained from declaring victory at its April meeting, a June rate cut seems increasingly likely.
Blog Persistent Inflation Pressures Could Delay Fed Action The March U.S. inflation report and other macro data will likely prompt a change in the Federal Reserve’s trajectory in 2024.
Cyclical outlook Diverging Markets, Diversified Portfolios With the paths of major economies poised to diverge, we believe it is critical to actively seek out investment opportunities globally.
Blog One Hike, Three Hints, and a Surprise Rate Cut Recent signals from major central banks suggest challenges ahead with easing monetary policy amid above-target inflation.
Blog Fed Readies for Rate Cuts: Back Toward Neutral, or Mid-Cycle Adjustment? Federal Reserve officials appear locked in for multiple rate cuts this year, despite inflation reaccelerating – raising questions about the speed and timing of this easing cycle.
Blog ECB: Next Stop, June While market pricing looks more reasonable, European Central Bank rate cuts, which could commence in June, are unlikely to be delivered as aggressively as the market expects in 2024.
Blog The Crude Calculus: Predicting Oil’s Next Moves Amid Global Uncertainties OPEC+ strategies and geopolitical tensions could roil markets.
Blog Real Assets: Bolstering Portfolios as Inflation Lingers Adding real assets to a stock and bond portfolio can help boost returns and smooth volatility when inflation runs above 2%.
View from the Investment Committee What Higher-for-Longer Rates Mean for Investors(video) PIMCO Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses the key implications for bonds, stocks, and cash as central banks hold rates at elevated levels.
Understanding Investing Inflation Inflation affects all aspects of the economy, from consumer spending, business investment and employment rates to government programs, tax policies, and interest rates. Understanding inflation is crucial to investing because inflation can reduce the value of investment returns.
Blog Europe’s Economy Facing Short- and Long-Term Headwinds Despite its cyclical and secular challenges, we believe Europe is a good diversifier for duration in global portfolios.
Blog ECB: Eyeing a June Rate Cut While the European Central Bank refrained from declaring victory at its April meeting, a June rate cut seems increasingly likely.
Blog Persistent Inflation Pressures Could Delay Fed Action The March U.S. inflation report and other macro data will likely prompt a change in the Federal Reserve’s trajectory in 2024.
Blog One Hike, Three Hints, and a Surprise Rate Cut Recent signals from major central banks suggest challenges ahead with easing monetary policy amid above-target inflation.
Blog Fed Readies for Rate Cuts: Back Toward Neutral, or Mid-Cycle Adjustment? Federal Reserve officials appear locked in for multiple rate cuts this year, despite inflation reaccelerating – raising questions about the speed and timing of this easing cycle.
Blog ECB: Next Stop, June While market pricing looks more reasonable, European Central Bank rate cuts, which could commence in June, are unlikely to be delivered as aggressively as the market expects in 2024.
Blog The Crude Calculus: Predicting Oil’s Next Moves Amid Global Uncertainties OPEC+ strategies and geopolitical tensions could roil markets.
Blog Real Assets: Bolstering Portfolios as Inflation Lingers Adding real assets to a stock and bond portfolio can help boost returns and smooth volatility when inflation runs above 2%.
Blog Fed Slowly Building the Confidence to Cut The Federal Reserve sees progress on inflation, but wants more certainty before it’s prepared to lower the policy rate.
Cyclical outlook Diverging Markets, Diversified Portfolios With the paths of major economies poised to diverge, we believe it is critical to actively seek out investment opportunities globally.
Viewpoints Major Central Banks Maintain Hard-Line Stance on Inflation “Restrictive for longer” is now the mantra as monetary policymakers seek to bring inflation reliably to target.
Viewpoints Fiscal Arithmetic and the Global Inflation Outlook Debt-financed fiscal policy is driving much of today’s high inflation, but as pandemic-era measures fade, central banks will likely return to their key role in managing price levels.
Viewpoints The Strategic Case for Commodities With their ability to act as an inflation hedge, diversifier and return enhancer, commodities should be considered an important portfolio allocation over the long term.
Secular Outlook The Aftershock Economy Markets will likely face more volatility as the global economy exits a period of massive fiscal and monetary support. In this post-policy era, attractive yields on high- quality bonds encourage a more resilient approach to investing.
Viewpoints Canada’s Economy: Strong Banks, Vulnerable Consumers We believe Canada’s banking sector is more insulated from some of the issues facing the U.S. banking system, and as a result, credit conditions in Canada may tighten less than in the U.S.
Cyclical outlook Fractured Markets, Strong Bonds The effects of tighter financial conditions are becoming apparent, bringing forward the risk of recession while suggesting a supportive backdrop for bonds.
Viewpoints Markets Are Finally Listening to Fed’s ‘Ongoing Increases’ Message Bond markets are pricing in additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, acknowledging the central bank’s emphatic resolve to tame inflation despite the likely trade-offs.
Viewpoints The Worst Is Likely Behind for Emerging Markets After withstanding a multitude of global challenges last year, emerging markets look poised for improvement as inflation recedes and the path of monetary policy comes into view.
View from the Investment Committee What Higher-for-Longer Rates Mean for Investors(video) PIMCO Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses the key implications for bonds, stocks, and cash as central banks hold rates at elevated levels.
Economic and Market Commentary Four Economic Themes to Know in 2024(video) Economist Tiffany Wilding shares four macro themes from our 2024 outlook likely to influence global markets, including the potential for a U.S. interest rate-cutting cycle. Find out what this means for fixed income and investors
View from the Investment Committee Value Returns to Fixed Income Markets(video) Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses how the volatility of the past two years has set the stage for bonds to offer greater downside cushion and improved return potential ahead.
View from the Investment Committee Higher Bond Yields Create an Attractive Alternative to Equities(video) Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses how fixed income has the potential to offer lower volatility, greater resilience, and better relative value to equities at a time when risk assets look more expensive. Learn more about where we’re seizing opportunities today.
Secular Outlook Secular Outlook: The Aftershock Economy(video) Markets will likely face more volatility as the global economy exits a period of massive fiscal and monetary support. Listen to our outlook for the global economy and markets over the next five years. Section 1: Key Takeaways Section 2: Secular Theme Section 3: Investment Implications Download PIMCO's Secular Outlook
View from the Investment Committee Balancing Investment Ideas for Today Against Opportunities for Tomorrow(video) Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses where we’re seizing opportunity now and where we’re exercising patience.
Economic and Market Commentary History Rhymes: Preparing for an Imminent Recession(video) Studying over 70 years of data lead us to believe that a recession may be imminent. Watch PIMCO Economist Tiffany Wilding discuss the economic implications of rising interest rates, and why investors may do well to stay invested in bonds.
Cyclical outlook Cyclical Outlook: Fractured Markets, Strong Bonds(video) The effects of tighter financial conditions are becoming apparent, bringing forward the risk of recession while suggesting a supportive backdrop for bonds. Section 1: Key Takeaways Section 2: Introduction Section 3: Economic Outlook Section 4: Investment Implications Download PIMCO's Cyclical Outlook
Economic and Market Commentary Cyclical Outlook: Fractured Markets, Strong Bonds – Key Takeaways(video) Economic and market stresses raise the risk of a recession. Fixed income can offer the potential for attractive yield and stability amid the uncertainty. Section 1: The Economic Backdrop Section 2: Investment Implications Download PIMCO's Cyclical Outlook
PIMCO Education Bonds are Back: Making the Most of Today’s Market(video) Tony Crescenzi and host John Nersesian take a deep dive into today’s bond market and the impact of Fed policy, how investors should be thinking about their fixed income allocations now, and the compelling opportunities presented by higher starting yields across sectors. To explore outcomes for every market, visit pimco.com.